Sports Gambling – How to Know How Much to Bet Per Event

The most common mistake amateur and professional sports gamblers make is betting too much on individual events. A simple hard and fast rule is to never bet more than 2.5% of your sports betting balance on any given sporting event. However, before we get to the details of how much to bet there are a few basic rules that any sports gambler must remember:

Rule 1: NEVER bet more than you can afford to lose. This is the one rule that too many people ignore before it is too late. Ignoring this the rule creates all the horror stories. In sports gambling you must remember that there will be hot streaks and cold streaks and you do not want to subject your rent money or mortgage payment to any risk what-so-ever. If the money you are using to gamble is earmarked for a necessity then you should not be gambling with it. Only gamble with discretionary income.

Rule 2: NEVER bet with your heart. This, again, is one simple rule that many gamblers seem to ignore. If the Dallas Cowboys are your favorite team, you must recognize (despite what you may think) that you WILL be biased in trying to determine the winner of any of their games. The common (mistaken) logic is that because they are your favorite team you know more about that team and therefore, you should be able to make a determination about the winner of their games. Nothing is further from the truth. The problem with this logic is that you listen to biased Sports Radio regarding your team, you read biased Newspaper articles regarding your team and most importantly, you are biased about your team. The best rule to follow is to avoid betting on any game that involves a team that you have ANY allegiance toward.

Rule 3: NEVER bet on a game because it is on Television. It is okay to bet on a game that is on Television, but do not bet on a game SOLELY because it is on television.

Rule 4: ALWAYS bet the same amount on every event that you bet. To state it differently, do not play $250 on Pittsburgh versus Dallas, $150 on New England versus Indianapolis and $500 on Oakland versus Chicago. The only reason Sports Gamblers do this is because they feel more confident about Oakland versus Chicago, less confident about Pittsburgh versus Dallas and slightly confident about New England versus Indianapolis. All too often, the “best” pick of the day, turns out wrong, a back door cover creates a loss or a late interception causes a change in the result of the game. DO NOT FALL FOR THE 5 STAR LOCK OF THE DAY. This is why: Say Steve bets $500 on Oakland +7 versus Chicago; $250 on Pittsburgh +4 versus Dallas and $150 on New England -3 versus Indianapolis. Further say Tom makes the EXACT three same picks, but bets $300 on each game. Both gamblers have bet $900.00. Assume Oakland does not cover but Pittsburgh and New England do cover. Steve won 2 games and lost 1, but has lost $100.00 ($250+$150-$500). Tom on the other hand has won 2 games and lost 1, but has won $300.00 ($300+$300-$300). There is nothing more frustrating than having a winning percentage, but losing money.

Rule 5: NEVER bet more than 2.5% of your bankroll on any single event. If your balance in your sports betting account is $1000.00 then you should bet $25.00 per game. The reason is very simple. If you bet $25.00 per game you would have to lose 40 straight games before your account busted. If you bet $100.00 per game (10% of your balance) you would only have to lose 10 straight before your account busted. In other words, by betting 2.5% of your account balance on any given game, you INSURE yourself that you will be able to withstand even the worst losing streak. Make sure that you follow Rule #4 as well…Do Not bet more money on one game and less on another.

Rule 6: Once you increase the amount you bet per game, DO NOT reduce the amount you bet per game. Further, you should only increase the amount you bet per game once you have increased your bankroll by 25%. Taking our example above further. If the bankroll is $1,000.00 then the bet is $25.00 per game UNTIL the original balance is increased to $1,250.00. At this point, the amount bet per game is increased to $31.25 per game (or 2.5% of $1,250.00). You would continue at this amount until the balance is increased against by 25% (to $1,560). If you would begin to lose and you fall below the last benchmark YOU DO NOT REDUCE the amount bet per game. If you do, you will find yourself in a never ending cycle.

Following these 6 simple and rather basic rules you will find that sports gambling will become less stressful and more fun.

Sports Betting Odds – Know Your Odds of Winning Each Game!

Sports betting odds, the best odds out there of any gambling opportunity, guarantees you at least a 50/50 SHOT at winning every single game! Sports betting odds are definitely hands down the best way to make a stable income working from home. Now, if you are a hardcore sports fan, you may think you can win better than 50% of all your games, but if you don’t spend at least 8 hours a day analyzing all angles, trends, weather conditions, injuries, match ups, etc… that goes into choosing each and every winning game, than you should leave it up to the professionals.

There are plenty of professional handicappers out there that analyze sports betting odds at least 8 hours a day and can guarantee you a winning percentage of 80% or better. That is incredible and if they have a proven track record to back it up than you should definitely go with them. Most professional sports handicappers that are legit and have a proven track record won’t charge an arm and a leg for their picks. You can find a professional sports handicapper for a reasonable cost.

After you choose your sports handicapper, it is time to find a sports book that will give you a nice signup bonus. There are plenty of sports books out there that will give you at least a 100% first time sign up bonus such as bet Jamaica, Sportsbook, and even Bodog. These sportsbooks are legit and make depositing, wagering, and cashing out extremely easy. Almost all the sportsbooks today allow you to bet right in the comfort of your own home, on your phone if you’re on the go, or even allow you to call their 1-800 number and wager on the game that way. No matter where you are or what time it is, you can always find a way to bet on your next game when the sports betting odds are right!

Cashing out also has never been so easy! All you have to do is hit withdrawal and your funds will be immediately placed in your bank account within 3 business days! By being able to cash out so fast, you can minimize your losses and maximize your profits. If you have a professional sports handicapper that you trust, you can build a solid bankroll and eventually quit your 9-5 boring day job and become a professional sports bettor. There are plenty of people out there today that bet solely on sports as a means of income! You can be the next one. It is an incredible life to live and such an adrenaline rush, but you’re putting your money in the right hands with a proven track record of wins. Winning at least 80% of your games overtime is quite a feat. You can build a serious amount of income in as little as a few months depending on how much you’re willing to risk. Sports betting odds can be challenging, but finding someone that can beat the odds over 80% of the time is a MUST! I wish you the best of luck!

What is a Circled Game Mean in a Sports Betting Event?

Visitors to Las Vegas or online sportsbooks may come across some games on the betting board that will have special rules attached in the betting. Such games will be circled on the betting board. A red box means that the line is “circled” and subject to reduced betting limits.

Often time’s sportsbooks will circle games on the betting board due to injuries to impact players. NFL teams competing on Sunday’s must submit their injury reports on Friday and provide updates on Saturday. In recent years the NFL adopted a rule forcing teams to disclose on Wednesday through Friday who missed practice and who had limited work during practice. The best practice for sports betting professionals would be to browse individual team websites that post the injury and practice information about the health of their players.

The injury reports have been very accurate in recent years because the NFL wants to protect the integrity of the league because inside information on injuries could be exploited. So teams have been very forthcoming about the health of their players. Injuries to impact players like the starting quarterback, running back and impact wide receivers will cause Las Vegas and online sportsbook to circle the game on the sports betting board until their status come game time is determined. Sharp sports bettors follow the best practice of shopping individual sports books to shop for the odds that are best set on the side they want to bet on.

Sometimes Las Vegas or online sportsbooks may miss important injury information on teams and a smart bettor may bet into a good betting number that favors the bettor. Professional gamblers look for knee, foot and ankle injuries to running backs. A running back who is not 100% healthy and playing with ankle, foot or knee injuries will see their average yards per carry often fall well below their average. This puts the offense in second and third and long situations or what is known as obvious passing situations. Defenses who know the pass is coming can adjust into pass coverage creating less space for the wide receivers to run routes making a pass completion by the quarterback much more difficult which raises the possibility of a turnover. With a capable back up running back it is often better for a team to not play a running back that sports ankle, knee or foot injuries. Many professional sports bettors will look to play against a team who is starting an impact running back who is playing with an ankle, foot or knee injury.

If inclement weather is forecasted for the site of an outdoor game a sportsbook will circle the game and bettors will have betting limits reduced on the game up until about an hour until game time. Wind can factor greatly in the passing game and the best practice for professional sports bettors will look to play under in college and pro football if the betting line has not already been bet down. There are times when the professional has the inclement weather information before the Las Vegas or online sportsbook and this is a scenario when they make advantage bets.

Many sports bettors will find NBA games circled on the Las Vegas or online sports betting board. Often times an NBA team will report a mild ailment from a player in their rotation and list them as questionable or doubtful. Smart betting professionals will tune into NBA team’s pregame show 30 minutes prior to the start of the game to get specific injury information about teams impact players on their rotation. In the NBA if an impact player is lost to injury the replacement player will often step up and the team will have point spread success in the first game the team plays without their impact player in the lineup.

A line may be circled when factors other than game play (e.g., injuries or weather conditions) could affect the outcome of the game. As many bookmakers don’t have enough information on the game and can’t accurately balance the action as it comes in, circled lines can’t be added to a parlay. Some online or Las Vegas sportsbooks may have too much action on one side of the game and even with a line move they cant attract action on the other team. Most sportsbook business models are set to attempt to balance trade on all games and protect their bottom line. Most sportsbooks try to attempt to have all of their lines un-circled. The red box may be removed closer to the start of the game.

Casino, Sports Betting, and Lottery – A Comparison of the House Edge

The house edge, which is the commission that a gambling agent such as a

casino, a sportsbook (bookmaker), or a lottery administrator charges, is a

yardstick that measures how a specific gambling game is fair and reasonable.

It is one of the most important factors that every player should consider whenever he/she is engaged in any type of gambling, inasmuch as it indicates how much of the money wagered goes to the gambling agent’s pocket and how much is redistributed to the winners. Indeed, a house edge cannot be zero since casinos, sportsbooks, and lottery administrators have to make some money in order to cover their expenses, and to make some profit as well. Yet, a high house edge simply means that the players are unnecessarily being ripped-off, and as a result, any gambling game with a high house edge should certainly be avoided by a

knowledgeable gambler.

In this article, we shall compare, in the simplest way

possible, the house edges of a roulette, an evens-odd betting, and a Cash 3

lottery game as representatives of the three major gambling categories.

The Equation

The easiest way to compute a house edge is to compare the actual winnings that are

paid by the respective agents to the winnings that would be paid in a

fair game or bet. A fair game or a fair bet is one in which no commission

is involved; an obvious model is a game between friends. Therefore, in

percentage form, the house edge is obtained by subtracting an actual game winning

from a fair game winning and dividing the result by the fair game winning,

finally multiplying by 100. Thus,

House Edge = [ (fair game winning – actual game winning) / fair game winning ] *

100

Roulette

Because of its simplicity and popularity, we shall consider the roulette as a

representative casino game. A European roulette wheel has grooves marked by the

numbers 0 to 36; the American wheel (also called Las Vegas wheel) has an

additional groove marked as ’00’. So, the European wheel has a total of 37

numbers, while the American wheel has 38. Internet casinos usually make available

the option to select the type of wheel the customer prefers, but the brick and

mortar casinos normally offer only one type. The winning number in a roulette

game is the number corresponding to the groove where a spinning ball lands.

Now, consider a fair game in which 38 friends are playing the roulette at home,

and each one selects a number and places a $1 bet on the number (no two or more

players wagering on the same number). When the ball is spun and lands in a

groove, the number marking that groove will be the winning number.

The person who has selected this winning number collects all the money on the

table thus making him win $37. On the other hand, if the game were conducted in

a casino, the winner would be paid only $35. The difference between the two

winnings applied in the above equation gives us the house edge of a roulette game

as

( 37 – 35 ) / 37 * 100 = 2 / 37 * 100 = 5.4%

This means that every time you spend a $100 on an offline or online casino roulette, $5.40 goes to the casino and the rest is redistributed to the winners. Evidently, there are quite a number of casino games and the house edge varies

from game to game, many of them having a house edge less than that of the

roulette. For obvious reasons, a good gambler always prefers games that have low house

edges, while the casino itself loves those games with high house edges. For example,

the house edge of craps is 1.4% which makes it one of the most preferred casino

games by the players.

Even-odds Sports Betting

Again, because of its simplicity, we shall consider an even-odds betting as a

representative of this category of gambling. By even-odds we mean that the event

(usually a sports game) has equal chances of going either way. An example is a

tennis match between two competitive players each of which has an equal chance

of winning the match.

A fair bet, in this case, is just a simple bet between two friends who just

pick one of the tennis player as winner. If these two friends wager $1 each, the

winner will collect $2, thus winning $1. If instead the bets are placed

through a sportsbook, the winner will collect only $1.91, since the odds of an

evens game at most bookies and online sportsbooks is 1.91. If you are not familiar with the

decimal representation of odds, 1.91 is the same as 10/11 in UK notation and

-110 in US odds notation. Odds of 10/11 mean that you’ll win $10 when you wager $11; and odds of -110 mean that you have to wager $110 in order

to win $100. Anyway, since the winnings paid by a sportsbook is only $0.91, the house

edge of an even-odds betting
will therefore be

( 1 – 0.91 ) / 1 * 100 = 0.09 * 100 = 9%

So, this is how sportsbooks make a living. Since several internet sportsbooks offer odds higher than 1.91 in order to lure

bettors, the house edge could be smaller than 9%, which is one of the things that the bettor should be looking for when searching for a sportsbook. On the other hand, if the bettor is

wagering on parlays the house edge would be significantly higher than 9%; for

big parlays, it could go as high as 40%.

It should be apparent by now that the gambler is better off with casino games

than sports betting. It should also be noted that while the house edge could

be a major factor to consider while selecting a gambling game, it is by no means

the only one. For instance, one should consider the fact that casino games are

mostly games of chance, while sports betting also involves a learned decision in

selecting a pick, consequently leading to a higher probability of winning a bet.

Cash 3

Depending on the state you are in, this lottery game may be known by a

different name such as Pick 3, Play 3, Daily 3, etc. In this game, the player

selects a three-digit number from 000 to 999, and plays the number as a straight

or as a box. A straight play is a prediction that the number will come exactly

as selected while a box is a prediction for the number to come in any order. For

instance, if a player selects the number 672 and plays it straight, he/she will

win if the number drawn is exactly 672. Instead, if the player plays 672 as a

box, he/she will win as long as the drawn number contains a 6, a 7 and a 2, in

any order (276, for example). Obviously, a straight game pays much more

than a box game for the same amount wagered.

Now consider 1000 friends (maybe in a club) selecting a number as a straight,

each for $1, so that all the 1000 possible numbers are covered. When the winning

number is drawn, the person who has selected that lucky number will be deemed a

winner and will cash in all the $1000 collected, so making him win $999. This is

a fair game. In the case of state lotteries, however, the winner will be paid

only $500 in most states. Some states may pay a little bit less, others may pay

a little bit more, but $500 is more or less the standard. The winner therefore

wins $499. The house edge for a Cash 3 game will therefore be

( 999 – 499 ) / 999 * 100 = 500 / 999 * 100 = 50%

This house edge applies not only to the Cash 3 game but also to all state

lottery games such as Play 4, Cash 5, Mega, Fantasy 5, Lotto, Power Ball, etc.

So, whenever you are playing the state lottery, remember that you are wagering

only half of your money on the actual lottery; the other half, you are

just giving it away. Where this other half goes is not the gambler’s concern,

since his/her main objective is to win some money in order to pay the ever

present bills, or to get out of a miserable life, or to change his/her

20-year-old car. As regards contributing to education and other noble causes,

there are other means of collecting money called taxes and charities.

Unfortunately, many states do not allow casino games, and furthermore,

sports betting is illegal in the United States. The player is therefore left

with no choice but to cross state borders in search of a casino, or more

recently, to engage in online sports betting through the several offshore

internet sportsbooks. Nowadays, there is a plethora of trustworthy online

casinos and sportsbooks operating from Canada, the UK, Antigua, Costa Rica, and

so on.

The Conclusion

As far as the house edge is concerned, it has been shown that casino games

are the best choice for the gambler. On the other end, any state lottery is a

pretty miserable game to play. Nevertheless, besides the house edge, there is

also the possibility of winning to consider.

Casino games, like lotteries are mostly games of chance; the player just

selects a number or numbers and waits to see what luck brings him/her. There is

absolutely no basis to prefer one number to others. Some people try to analyze

previously drawn numbers in order to see the trend and predict the next numbers.

This strategy may work a few times, but not always. Keep in mind that it is the

players, and not the machines, who remember the previous numbers. In short, the

possibility of winning a roulette or the lottery entirely depends on luck.

While there is little or nothing that a roulette or a lotto player can do to

initially select a possible winning number, the situation could be quite

different in the case of betting. With a lot of information and some assistance from

sports handicappers, it is possible to predict the outcome of a sports event

with more certainty than predicting a Cash 3 number.